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NFL All Day · Pack #446

Standard (Series 2, Playbook Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.17/pack▼ 92% below the $2.25 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.25

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.25] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

3,458

complete open history

Moments pulled

3,458

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

158

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 1y ago135 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.17

Net −$2.08 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.25

Value ratio

0.08x

-92.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.25

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

158

of 3,616 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.4%unopened

158 / 3,616 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Curtis Samuel	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.15	—
Samaje Perine	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.15	—
Dameon Pierce	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.13	—
Xavier McKinney	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.12	—
Tyler Lockett	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.17	—
Shaq Thompson	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.15	—
Jonathan Allen	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.16	—
Roquan Smith	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.10	—
Cameron Heyward	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.10	—
Jayron Kearse	Base	COMMON	1.16%	$0.10	—