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NFL All Day · Pack #4489

Calvin Austin III - Afterburners (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $3.50/pack▼ 96% below the $88.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$88.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$5.00

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $3.50/packvs realized $5.00 avg · $5.00 median(1.43×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 82 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$3.50

Net −$84.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

Value ratio

0.04x

-96.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $88.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 83 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

1.2%unopened

1 / 83 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Calvin Austin	Afterburners	RARE	100.00%	$3.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.