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NFL All Day · Pack #453

Legacy: Josh Allen (Historical 2)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $4.50/pack▼ 95% below the $98.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $98.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$98.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

246

complete open history

Moments pulled

246

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

Sealed pack resale

Last $70.00 · 3y ago4 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$4.50

Net −$93.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $98.00

Value ratio

0.05x

-95.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $98.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 250 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.6%unopened

4 / 250 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Josh Allen	Legacy	RARE	100.00%	$4.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.