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NFL All Day · Pack #4634

Banner Year - 2024

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $3.75/pack▼ 87% below the $28.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $3.50

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$28.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,163

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,326

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$16.73

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$5.58

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $3.75/packvs realized $5.58 avg · $4.83 median(1.49×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 1,163 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Buffalo Bills · Banner Year	RARE	7.14%	$5.00	18.2%
Philadelphia Eagles · Banner Year	RARE	7.14%	$3.25	11.8%
Los Angeles Chargers

Sealed pack resale

Last $28.00 · 10mo agoRetail $79.00549 sales

Pack price

$28.00

Actual EV

$3.75

Mean pull · Net −$24.25 vs ask

Typical Pull

$3.50

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.13x

-86.6% margin

FMV coverage

100%

14 editions

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs · as of 54d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,225 minted · as of 54d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

5.1%unopened

62 / 1,225 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Denver Broncos	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$0.85	—
Washington Commanders	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$1.28	—
Houston Texans	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$1.25	—
Buffalo Bills	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$5.00	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$2.37	—
Detroit Lions	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$2.00	—
Los Angeles Rams	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$1.42	—
Kansas City Chiefs	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$0.85	—
Los Angeles Chargers	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$2.45	—
Philadelphia Eagles	Banner Year	RARE	0.08%	$3.25	—

Banner Year - 2024

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV