What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.

NFL All Day · Pack #4788

Derrick Henry - Wild Card Weekend (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $2.00/pack▼ 99% below the $299 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $299

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$299] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

166

complete open history

Moments pulled

166

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$3.60

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$3.60

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $2.00/packvs realized $3.60 avg · $3.60 median(1.80×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 166 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $28.00 · 2y ago3 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$2.00

Net −$297 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $299

Value ratio

0.01x

-99.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $299

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 9d ago

Packs remaining

of 170 minted · as of 9d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.4%unopened

4 / 170 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Derrick Henry	Wild Card Weekend	RARE	100.00%	$2.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.