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NFL All Day · Pack #4884

Playoff Icons Legendary

Legendary

Value still sealed≈ $71.57/pack▼ 87% below the $549 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $54.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$549] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

190

complete open history

Moments pulled

380

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$257

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$85.67

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

73%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $71.57/packvs realized $85.67 avg · $81.50 median(1.20×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 190 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Malcolm Butler · Marquee	ULTIMATE	1.11%	$799	27.9%
Brian Westbrook · Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	8.79%	$39.60	10.9%

Sealed pack resale

Last $299 · 1y agoRetail $54910 sales

Pack price

$549

Actual EV

$71.57

Mean pull · Net −$477 vs ask

Typical Pull

$54.00

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.13x

-87.0% margin

FMV coverage

86%

14 editions

Depletion

73%

of all minted packs · as of 14d ago

Packs remaining

of 260 minted · as of 14d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

27%unopened

70 / 260 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

UltimateHit 1.11%

Malcolm Butler

Marquee

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Greg Jennings	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$18.00	—
Boomer Esiason	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$27.00	—
Vernon Davis	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$27.00	—
James Harrison	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$27.00	—
John Lynch	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$5.95	—
Malcolm Butler	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$34.20	—
John Elway	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$30.00	—
Kurt Warner	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$30.00	—
LaVar Arrington	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$12.00	—
Daunte Culpepper	Playoff Legacies	LEGENDARY	0.38%	$11.00	—

Playoff Icons Legendary

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV