Super Bowl LIX Legendary

Legendary+EV

Value still sealed≈ $232/pack▲ 16% above the $200 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $118

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$200] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

190

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1,949

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$177

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

93%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $232/packvs realized $177 avg · $85.50 median(0.77×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 95 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jalen Hurts · Super Bowl LIX Marquee	ULTIMATE	2.75%	$2,500	45.8%
Cooper DeJean · Super Bowl LIX Icon	LEGENDARY	16.21%	$224	24.2%

Sealed pack resale

Median $149 (90d)Last $149 · 1mo agoRetail $9998 sales · 1 in 90d

trades 0.15× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

$200

Actual EV

$232

Mean pull · Net +$31.70 vs ask

Typical Pull

$118

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

1.16x

15.8% margin

FMV coverage

100%

7 editions

Depletion

93%

of all minted packs · as of 38d ago

Packs remaining

of 102 minted · as of 38d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.