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NFL All Day · Pack #5019

Jalen Hurts - 2024 Playoffs (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $9.00/pack▼ 70% below the $30.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $30.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$30.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

222

complete open history

Moments pulled

222

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$9.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$9.00

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $9.00/packvs realized $9.00 avg · $9.00 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 222 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $31.00 · 1y ago7 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$9.00

Net −$21.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $30.00

Value ratio

0.30x

-70.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $30.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs · as of 9d ago

Packs remaining

of 233 minted · as of 9d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.7%unopened

11 / 233 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jalen Hurts	Playoff	RARE	100.00%	$9.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.