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NFL All Day · Pack #5077

Rookie Rewind Standard

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.85/pack▼ 93% below the $12.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.75

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$12.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

9,414

complete open history

Moments pulled

47,070

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$17.30

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.24

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

586

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.85/packvs realized $1.24 avg · $1.04 median(1.46×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 9,414 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Josh Allen · Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$1,600	4.7%
T.J. Watt · Rookie Rewind Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$99.00	1.4%
Joe Burrow

Sealed pack resale

Last $12.00 · 9mo agoRetail $5.00286 sales

Pack price

$12.00

Actual EV

$0.85

Mean pull · Net −$11.15 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.75

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.07x

-92.9% margin

FMV coverage

100%

346 editions

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

586

of 10,000 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

5.9%unopened

586 / 10,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 346 of 346 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Joe Mixon	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Nolan Smith	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Harrison Smith	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.14	—
Christian Kirk	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.14	—
Bryan Cook	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Kyler Murray	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Jonathan Mingo	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.12	—
Patrick Mahomes II	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.41	—
Michael Pittman Jr.	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.14	—
Amani Hooker	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—

Rookie Rewind Standard

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV