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NFL All Day · Pack #5178

Tua Tagovailoa - Rookie Rewind Gold (Locking Reward)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $2.25/pack▼ 96% below the $58.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $58.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$58.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.55

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.55

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $2.25/packvs realized $2.55 avg · $2.55 median(1.13×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 82 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$2.25

Net −$55.75 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $58.00

Value ratio

0.04x

-96.1% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $58.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 83 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

1.2%unopened

1 / 83 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Tua Tagovailoa	Rookie Rewind Gold	RARE	100.00%	$2.25	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.