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NFL All Day · Pack #5198

2025 Draft: Last Chance

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.17/pack▼ 94% below the $18.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.75

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$18.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,925

complete open history

Moments pulled

24,625

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.71

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.43

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.17/packvs realized $1.43 avg · $1.59 median(1.22×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 4,925 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Drake Maye · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$3,300	9.5%
Patrick Mahomes II · Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$3,000	8.6%
—

Sealed pack resale

Last $6.00 · 10mo agoRetail $32.0081 sales

Pack price

$18.00

Actual EV

$1.17

Mean pull · Net −$16.83 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.75

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.07x

-93.5% margin

FMV coverage

100%

212 editions

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 5,000 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.5%unopened

75 / 5,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 212 of 212 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Deshaun Watson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Dorian Thompson-Robinson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Donte Jackson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Tutu Atwell	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Yetur Gross-Matos	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Zach Allen	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Rashan Gary	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.13	—
Ty Chandler	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Kyzir White	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Jake Ferguson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—

2025 Draft: Last Chance

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV