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NFL All Day · Pack #5612

Ashton Jeanty - Rookie Debut Moment

Common

Value still sealed≈ $2.64/pack▼ 89% below the $25.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$25.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

352

complete open history

Moments pulled

352

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.00

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $2.64/packvs realized $2.00 avg · $2.00 median(0.76×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 352 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $25.00 · 11mo ago5 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$2.64

Net −$22.36 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00

Value ratio

0.11x

-89.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $25.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 364 minted

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). It rests on thin AllDay FMV — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

3.3%unopened

12 / 364 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Rookie Debut: Signature Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 2 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Ashton Jeanty	Rookie Debut	COMMON	98.04%	$2.64	—
Ashton Jeanty	Rookie Debut: Signature Edition	COMMON	1.96%	—	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.