Colston Loveland - Rookie Debut Moment

Common

Value still sealed≈ $10.70/pack▲ 53% above the $7.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

361

complete open history

Moments pulled

361

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$9.42

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.05

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

92%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $10.70/packvs realized $1.06 avg · $1.06 median(0.10×)

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 361 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Colston Loveland · Rookie Debut	COMMON	98.04%	$1.00	71.0%
Colston Loveland · Rookie Debut: Signature Edition	COMMON	1.96%	$20.40	29.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $7.00 · 1y ago1 sale

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$10.70

Net +$3.70 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

Value ratio

1.53x

52.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

92%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 391 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).