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NFL All Day · Pack #5617

Mykel Williams - Rookie Debut Moment

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.42/pack▼ 86% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

332

complete open history

Moments pulled

332

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1.36

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.68

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

93%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.42/packvs realized $0.68 avg · $0.68 median(1.62×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 332 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.42

Net −$2.58 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

Value ratio

0.14x

-86.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

93%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 356 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

6.7%unopened

24 / 356 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Mykel Williams	Rookie Debut	COMMON	100.00%	$0.42	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.