Tyler Booker - Rookie Debut Moment

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.16/pack▼ 95% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

323

complete open history

Moments pulled

323

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.28

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.23

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.16/packvs realized $0.23 avg · $0.28 median(1.44×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 323 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Tyler Booker · Rookie Debut	COMMON	100.00%	$0.16	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 1y ago2 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.16

Net −$2.84 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Value ratio

0.05x

-94.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 344 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).