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NFL All Day · Pack #5622

Walter Nolen - Rookie Debut Moment

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.15/pack▼ 95% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

316

complete open history

Moments pulled

316

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.15

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.15

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.15/packvs realized $0.15 avg · $0.15 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 316 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $1.00 · 11mo ago2 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.15

Net −$2.85 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

Value ratio

0.05x

-95.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs · as of 9d ago

Packs remaining

of 332 minted · as of 9d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.8%unopened

16 / 332 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Walter Nolen	Rookie Debut	COMMON	100.00%	$0.15	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.