Jahdae Barron - Rookie Debut Moment

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.20/pack▼ 100% below the $97.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $97.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$97.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

335

complete open history

Moments pulled

335

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.46

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.23

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

92%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.20/packvs realized $0.26 avg · $0.26 median(1.30×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 335 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jahdae Barron · Rookie Debut	COMMON	100.00%	$0.20	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.20

Net −$96.80 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $97.00 ask

Value ratio

0.00x

-99.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $97.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

92%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 365 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).