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NFL All Day · Pack #5644

2nd Round Offense - Rookie Debut Moments (2025 Draft)

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.22/pack▼ 77% below the $0.95 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $0.95 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$0.95] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,969

complete open history

Moments pulled

4,969

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$47.60

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.43

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

118

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.22/packvs realized $0.43 avg · $0.27 median(1.96×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 4,969 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Tyler Shough · Rookie Debut	COMMON	9.09%	$1.25	27.7%
Luther Burden · Rookie Debut	COMMON	9.09%	$0.86	19.1%
TreVeyon Henderson

Sealed pack resale

Median $0.95 (90d)Last $0.95 · 12d ago256 sales · 3 in 90d

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.22

Net −$0.73 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $0.95 ask

Value ratio

0.23x

-76.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $0.95 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 12d ago

Packs remaining

118

of 5,087 minted · as of 12d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.3%unopened

118 / 5,087 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Buyer	Sale price	When
@nogchomp	$0.95	12d ago
@GlibPenguin	$0.95	13d ago
@JadenRm7	$0.95	23d ago

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Tre Harris	Rookie Debut	COMMON	9.09%	$0.16	—
Quinshon Judkins	Rookie Debut	COMMON	9.09%	$0.22	—

2nd Round Offense - Rookie Debut Moments (2025 Draft)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV