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NFL All Day · Pack #5645

2nd Round Defense - Rookie Debut Moments (2025 Draft)

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.20/pack▼ 90% below the $2.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,444

complete open history

Moments pulled

4,444

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.74

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.23

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.20/packvs realized $0.24 avg · $0.20 median(1.20×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 4,444 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Median $1.60 (90d)Last $1.60 · 2mo ago36 sales · 1 in 90d

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.20

Net −$1.80 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

Value ratio

0.10x

-90.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 21d ago

Packs remaining

of 4,542 minted · as of 21d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.2%unopened

98 / 4,542 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Andrew Mukuba	Rookie Debut	COMMON	6.25%	$0.19	—
Will Johnson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	6.25%	$0.17	—
Benjamin Morrison	Rookie Debut	COMMON	6.25%

2nd Round Defense - Rookie Debut Moments (2025 Draft)

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV