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NFL All Day · Pack #5790

Wideout Wonders: Premium Chance Hit

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.96/pack▼ 96% below the $22.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.68

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$22.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

987

complete open history

Moments pulled

3,948

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$6.74

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.25

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.96/packvs realized $2.25 avg · $2.27 median(2.34×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 987 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Patrick Mahomes II · Dynamic	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$900	11.3%
Justin Jefferson · Dynamic	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$575	7.2%
Ja'Marr Chase

Sealed pack resale

Last $19.00 · 1y agoRetail $19.00164 sales

Pack price

$22.00

Actual EV

$0.96

Mean pull · Net −$21.04 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.68

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.04x

-95.6% margin

FMV coverage

100%

213 editions

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 999 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.2%unopened

12 / 999 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 213 of 213 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Will Anderson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.17	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.16	—
Evan McPherson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.13	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.19	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.20	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.17	—
Drake Maye	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.25	—
Fred Warner	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.15	—
Devin Lloyd	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.15	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.10	—

Wideout Wonders: Premium Chance Hit

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV