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NFL All Day · Pack #58

Playbook: Three-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 4)

Standard3 slots

Value still sealed≈ $0.77/pack▼ 99% below the $95.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $95.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$95.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

5,012

complete open history

Moments pulled

15,036

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

100%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Evan McPherson · Base	COMMON	3.05%	$1.00	8.8%
Saquon Barkley · Base	COMMON	3.05%	$1.00	8.8%
Baker Mayfield · Base	COMMON	3.05%	$0.72	6.4%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.77

Net −$94.23 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $95.00 ask

Value ratio

0.01x

-99.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $95.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

100%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 5,022 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.2%unopened

10 / 5,022 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Evan McPherson	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$1.00	$0.09
Saquon Barkley	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$1.00	$0.09
Baker Mayfield	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$0.72	$0.07
Dak Prescott	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$0.65	$0.06
Devin Duvernay	Afterburners	RARE	0.24%	$6.50	$0.05
Amon-Ra St. Brown	Locked In	RARE	0.37%	$4.00	$0.04
Jordan Love	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$0.42	$0.04
Minnesota Vikings	He Called Game	COMMON	1.83%	$0.50	$0.03
Mac Jones	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$0.29	$0.03
Rondale Moore	Base	COMMON	3.05%	$0.29	$0.03

Playbook: Three-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 4)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV