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NFL All Day · Pack #5818

Holo Icon: Premium Guaranteed Hit (September - 2025)

Premium

Value still sealed≈ $0.87/pack▼ 98% below the $40.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.68

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$40.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,996

complete open history

Moments pulled

7,984

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.10

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.55

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

2,062

still unopened

Opened share

49%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.87/packvs realized $2.55 avg · $2.55 median(2.93×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 1,996 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Josh Allen · Holo Icon Signature Edition	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$700	6.0%
Amon-Ra St. Brown · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$206	4.6%
James Cook

Sealed pack resale

Last $45.00 · 9mo agoRetail $39.00306 sales

Pack price

$40.00

Actual EV

$0.87

Mean pull · Net −$39.13 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.68

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.02x

-97.8% margin

FMV coverage

98%

189 editions

Depletion

49%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

2,062

of 4,058 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

51%unopened

2,062 / 4,058 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

LegendaryHit <0.01%

Josh Allen

Holo Icon Signature Edition

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$100

What's Inside

FMV priced 185 of 189 (98%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Demario Douglas	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—
Evan McPherson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.13	—
Ji'Ayir Brown	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.20	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.20	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—
Christian Barmore	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Fred Warner	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Kyle Dugger	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.14	—
Dalton Kincaid	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—

Holo Icon: Premium Guaranteed Hit (September - 2025)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV