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NFL All Day · Pack #5862

2025 Playbook Week 4 - Free

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.16/pack▼ 84% below the $1.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

830

complete open history

Moments pulled

830

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4.01

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.19

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

92%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.16/packvs realized $0.19 avg · $0.17 median(1.19×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 830 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Patrick Mahomes II · Base	COMMON	1.79%	$0.40	4.1%
Saquon Barkley · Base	COMMON	1.79%	$0.38	3.9%

Sealed pack resale

Last $1.00 · 3mo ago34 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.16

Net −$0.84 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1.00 ask

Value ratio

0.16x

-84.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

92%

of all minted packs · as of 26d ago

Packs remaining

of 900 minted · as of 26d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

7.8%unopened

70 / 900 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Isiah Pacheco	Base	COMMON	1.79%	$0.15	—
Christian Gonzalez	Base	COMMON	1.79%	$0.15	—
Travon Walker

2025 Playbook Week 4 - Free

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV