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NFL All Day · Pack #5917

2025 Playbook Week 5 - Classic

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.18/pack▼ 96% below the $4.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

926

complete open history

Moments pulled

926

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$60.15

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.23

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

93%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.18/packvs realized $2.23 avg · $0.31 median(12.39×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 926 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
James Cook · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$203	7.9%
Patrick Mahomes II · Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.40	3.0%

Sealed pack resale

Last $6.00 · 1y ago59 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.18

Net −$3.82 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask

Value ratio

0.04x

-95.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $4.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

93%

of all minted packs · as of 26d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,000 minted · as of 26d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

7.4%unopened

74 / 1,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$31.45

RareHit 0.01%

Jake Tonges

Move the Chains (Parallel)

$27.00

RareHit 0.01%

C.J. Stroud

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$26.50

LegendaryHit <0.01%

Cobie Durant

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$25.00

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Khalil Shakir	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.13	—
Joe Mixon	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.15	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.15	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.20	—
Isiah Pacheco	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.15	—
Trent McDuffie	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.13	—
Brock Purdy	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.17	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.19	—
Danielle Hunter	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.17	—
Will Anderson	Base	COMMON	1.76%	$0.17	—

2025 Playbook Week 5 - Classic

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV