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NFL All Day · Pack #5920

Ground Greatness: Chance Hit

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.70/pack▼ 90% below the $7.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.51

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

7,923

complete open history

Moments pulled

23,769

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$27.84

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.84

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

1,076

still unopened

Opened share

88%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.70/packvs realized $0.84 avg · $0.55 median(1.20×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 7,923 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Brock Bowers · Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$179	5.1%
Justin Herbert · Iconic	LEGENDARY	0.01%	$85.50	3.9%
Blake Corum

Sealed pack resale

Last $6.00 · 8mo agoRetail $5.001 sale

Pack price

$7.00

Actual EV

$0.70

Mean pull · Net −$6.30 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.51

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.10x

-90.0% margin

FMV coverage

99%

229 editions

Depletion

88%

of all minted packs · as of 16d ago

Packs remaining

1,076

of 8,999 minted · as of 16d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

12%unopened

1,076 / 8,999 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Holo Icon Signature Edition

Ground Greatness (Parallel)

$65.00

LegendaryHit <0.01%

Caleb Williams

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$52.80

What's Inside

FMV priced 227 of 229 (99%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Will Anderson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.17	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.16	—
Jalen Hurts	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.19	—
Khalil Shakir	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.13	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.17	—
Fred Warner	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Evan McPherson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.13	—
Dalton Kincaid	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.16	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.10	—

Ground Greatness: Chance Hit

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV