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NFL All Day · Pack #5974

Wideout Wonders: Chance Hit Drop 2

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.71/pack▼ 96% below the $19.50 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.51

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$19.50] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

5,919

complete open history

Moments pulled

17,757

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$31.16

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.60

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.71/packvs realized $0.60 avg · $0.57 median(0.84×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 5,919 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Patrick Mahomes II · Super Bowl LIX Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$150	5.7%
T'Vondre Sweat · Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$95.00	3.0%

Sealed pack resale

Last $14.00 · 9mo agoRetail $5.0046 sales

Pack price

$19.50

Actual EV

$0.71

Mean pull · Net −$18.79 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.51

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.04x

-96.4% margin

FMV coverage

98%

203 editions

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 5,999 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.3%unopened

80 / 5,999 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Wideout Wonders (Parallel)

What's Inside

FMV priced 199 of 203 (98%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Will Anderson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.17	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.16	—
Kyle Dugger	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.19	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.20	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.17	—
Patrick Mahomes II	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.29	—
Devin Lloyd	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Demario Douglas	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.15	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	0.02%	$0.10	—

Wideout Wonders: Chance Hit Drop 2

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV