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NFL All Day · Pack #60

Playbook: Five-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 4)

Premium3 slots

Value still sealed≈ $1.44/pack▼ 100% below the $999 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $999 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$999] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,757

complete open history

Moments pulled

8,271

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

100%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Joe Burrow · Base	COMMON	2.98%	$2.00	16.3%
Ja'Marr Chase · Base	COMMON	2.98%	$2.00	16.3%
C.J. Mosley · Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.48	3.9%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$1.44

Net −$998 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $999 ask

Value ratio

0.00x

-99.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $999 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

100%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 2,762 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.2%unopened

5 / 2,762 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 0.36%

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Locked In

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Joe Burrow	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$2.00	$0.18
Ja'Marr Chase	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$2.00	$0.18
C.J. Mosley	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.48	$0.04
Amon-Ra St. Brown	Locked In	RARE	0.36%	$4.00	$0.04
Jordan Love	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.42	$0.04
Tua Tagovailoa	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.35	$0.03
Jonathan Taylor	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.32	$0.03
Drake London	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.29	$0.03
Garrett Wilson	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.28	$0.03
Josiah Deguara	Base	COMMON	2.98%	$0.25	$0.02

Playbook: Five-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 4)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV