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NFL All Day · Pack #6041

Regal Rookies: Ultimate Chaser

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.27/pack▼ 98% below the $15.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.21

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$15.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5.68

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.14

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.27/packvs realized $1.14 avg · $0.70 median(4.22×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 94 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Cam Ward · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$1,150	13.2%
Tyler Shough · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.10%	$1.25	3.6%
Jaxson Dart

Sealed pack resale

Last $9.00 · 1y agoRetail $3.0031 sales

Pack price

$15.00

Actual EV

$0.27

Mean pull · Net −$14.73 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.21

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.02x

-98.2% margin

FMV coverage

100%

100 editions

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 100 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

6.0%unopened

6 / 100 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 100 of 100 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Quinn Ewers	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.24	—
Andrew Mukuba	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.19	—
Mason Graham	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.16	—
Will Johnson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.19	—
RJ Harvey	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.25	—
Demetrius Knight	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.20	—
Will Howard	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.26	—
Trevor Etienne	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.24	—
Xavier Watts	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.15	—
Nick Emmanwori	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.00%	$0.35	—

Regal Rookies: Ultimate Chaser

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV