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NFL All Day · Pack #6130

Launch Codes: Chance Hit

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.65/pack▼ 93% below the $9.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.51

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$9.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,940

complete open history

Moments pulled

8,820

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$21.96

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.73

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.65/packvs realized $0.73 avg · $0.61 median(1.12×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 2,940 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jayden Daniels · Rookie Honors	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$89.00	3.1%
Xavier Legette · Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$74.00	2.5%
Drake Maye

Sealed pack resale

Last $4.00 · 10mo agoRetail $5.0011 sales

Pack price

$9.00

Actual EV

$0.65

Mean pull · Net −$8.35 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.51

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.07x

-92.8% margin

FMV coverage

98%

189 editions

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 130d ago

Packs remaining

of 2,999 minted · as of 130d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

2.0%unopened

59 / 2,999 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$65.00

RareHit <0.01%

Rashan Gary

Defensive Gems (Parallel)

$40.50

RareHit <0.01%

Caleb Williams

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$34.50

What's Inside

FMV priced 185 of 189 (98%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.19	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.16	—
Devin Lloyd	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.15	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.10	—
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.20	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.17	—
Fred Warner	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.13	—
Tee Higgins	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.18	—
Dalton Kincaid	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.16	—
Demario Douglas	Base	COMMON	0.03%	$0.15	—

Launch Codes: Chance Hit

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV