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NFL All Day · Pack #6221

2025 Playbook Week 9 - Classic

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.18/pack▼ 94% below the $3.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

919

complete open history

Moments pulled

919

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$54.31

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.70

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

92%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.18/packvs realized $1.70 avg · $0.23 median(9.44×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 919 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Drake Maye · Launch Codes (Parallel)	RARE	0.01%	$65.00	3.2%
Patrick Mahomes II · Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.40	3.0%

Sealed pack resale

Last $2.00 · 8mo ago77 sales

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.18

Net −$2.82 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

Value ratio

0.06x

-94.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

92%

of all minted packs · as of 10d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,000 minted · as of 10d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

8.1%unopened

81 / 1,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 0.01%

Drake Maye

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$65.00

RareHit 0.01%

Rashan Gary

Defensive Gems (Parallel)

$40.50

RareHit 0.01%

Caleb Williams

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$34.50

RareHit 0.01%

Trevor Lawrence

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$30.00

RareHit 0.01%

Spencer Rattler

Launch Codes (Parallel)

$14.00

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Trent McDuffie	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.13	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.16	—
Josh Hines-Allen	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.17	—
Brock Purdy	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.17	—
Khalil Shakir	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.13	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.17	—
Tee Higgins	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.18	—
Kyle Dugger	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.15	—
Demario Douglas	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.15	—
Danielle Hunter	Base	COMMON	1.72%	$0.14	—

2025 Playbook Week 9 - Classic

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV