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NFL All Day · Pack #6261

Ground Greatness: Guaranteed Hit

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $1.23/pack▼ 97% below the $49.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.85

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$49.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

462

complete open history

Moments pulled

2,310

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$134

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$16.73

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

536

still unopened

Opened share

46%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.23/packvs realized $16.73 avg · $17.77 median(13.60×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 462 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
James Cook · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$203	3.3%
Matthew Stafford · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$199	3.3%
Ashton Jeanty

Sealed pack resale

Last $45.00 · 11mo agoRetail $49.00108 sales

Pack price

$49.00

Actual EV

$1.23

Mean pull · Net −$47.77 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.85

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.03x

-97.5% margin

FMV coverage

99%

229 editions

Depletion

46%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

536

of 998 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

54%unopened

536 / 998 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$450

LegendaryHit <0.01%

Matthew Stafford

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$323

LegendaryHit <0.01%

T.J. Watt

Holo Icon Signature Edition

What's Inside

FMV priced 227 of 229 (99%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Trent McDuffie	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.13	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.16	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.19	—
Brock Purdy	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.17	—
Khalil Shakir	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.13	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.17	—
Ji'Ayir Brown	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.20	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.10	—
Evan McPherson	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.13	—
Danielle Hunter	Base	COMMON	0.10%	$0.14	—

Ground Greatness: Guaranteed Hit

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV