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NFL All Day · Pack #6262

Ground Greatness: Premium Chance Hit

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.14/pack▼ 99% below the $97.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.72

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$97.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,586

complete open history

Moments pulled

10,344

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$14.20

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.37

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

100%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.14/packvs realized $2.37 avg · $2.05 median(2.08×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 2,586 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Micah Parsons · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$360	4.0%
Carson Schwesinger · Regal Rookies	RARE	0.03%	$36.00	2.0%
D'Andre Swift

Pack price

$97.00

Actual EV

$1.14

Mean pull · Net −$95.86 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.72

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.01x

-98.8% margin

FMV coverage

97%

404 editions

Depletion

100%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 2,599 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.5%unopened

13 / 2,599 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

LegendaryHit <0.01%

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Holo Icon Signature Edition

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$323

LegendaryHit <0.01%

T.J. Watt

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$300

RareHit <0.01%

Justin Fields

Metallic Gold LE Signature Edition

$225

What's Inside

FMV priced 392 of 404 (97%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Trent McDuffie	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.13	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.16	—
Demario Douglas	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.15	—
Brock Purdy	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.17	—
George Karlaftis	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.14	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.17	—
Drake Maye	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.25	—
Ji'Ayir Brown	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.20	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.19	—
Danielle Hunter	Base	COMMON	0.04%	$0.14	—

Ground Greatness: Premium Chance Hit

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV