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NFL All Day · Pack #6303

Grail Seeker Chance Hit - November 2025

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.82/pack▼ 84% below the $5.00 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $0.54

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$5.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,963

complete open history

Moments pulled

14,889

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$69.68

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.27

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

5,035

still unopened

Opened share

50%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.82/packvs realized $1.28 avg · $0.75 median(1.56×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 4,963 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Travis Hunter · Rookie Marquee	ULTIMATE	<0.01%	$1,550	5.4%
Micah Parsons · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	<0.01%	$360	4.9%

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 11mo agoRetail $5.004 sales

Pack price

$5.00

Actual EV

$0.82

Mean pull · Net −$4.18 vs ask

Typical Pull

$0.54

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.16x

-83.6% margin

FMV coverage

100%

309 editions

Depletion

50%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

5,035

of 9,998 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

50%unopened

5,035 / 9,998 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 309 of 309 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Chase Brown	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.20	—
Christian McCaffrey	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.16	—
Marcus Jones	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.10	—
Trent McDuffie	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.13	—
George Karlaftis	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.14	—
Travis Etienne	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.17	—
Evan McPherson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.13	—
Demario Douglas	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.15	—
Trey Hendrickson	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.19	—
Brock Purdy	Base	COMMON	0.01%	$0.17	—

Grail Seeker Chance Hit - November 2025

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV