2025 Spark of Greatness Reward - Kimani Vidal

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $3.60/pack▼ 96% below the $100 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $100 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$100] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$28.80

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$3.60

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $3.60/packvs realized $3.60 avg · $3.60 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 73 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Kimani Vidal · Spark of Greatness	RARE	100.00%	$3.60	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$3.60

Net −$96.40 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $100 ask

Value ratio

0.04x

-96.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $100 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 75 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).