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NFL All Day · Pack #6378

2025 Spark of Greatness Reward - Kimani Vidal

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $6.30/pack▼ 94% below the $100 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $100

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$100] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$6.30

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$6.30

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $6.30/packvs realized $6.30 avg · $6.30 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 73 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$6.30

Net −$93.70 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $100

Value ratio

0.06x

-93.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $100

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 75 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.7%unopened

2 / 75 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kimani Vidal	Spark of Greatness	RARE	100.00%	$6.30	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.