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NFL All Day · Pack #6401

2025 Chicago Bears Souvenir Reward - Colston Loveland

Common

Value still sealed≈ $0.95/pack▼ 53% below the $2.00 secondary ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

442

complete open history

Moments pulled

442

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$26.44

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.88

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

2,558

still unopened

Opened share

15%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.95/packvs realized $0.88 avg · $1.03 median(0.93×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 442 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $1.00 · 5mo ago23 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.95

Mean pull · Net −$1.05 vs ask

Value ratio

0.47x

-52.5% margin

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

15%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

2,559

of 3,000 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

85%unopened

2,559 / 3,000 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Colston Loveland	Souvenir	COMMON	100.00%	$0.95	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.