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NFL All Day · Pack #67

Playbook: Three-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 5)

Standard3 slots

Value still sealed≈ $0.82/pack▼ 99% below the $99.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $99.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$99.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

4,255

complete open history

Moments pulled

12,765

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

100%

of all minted packs

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jalen Hurts · Base	COMMON	3.20%	$1.00	8.8%
Dallas Cowboys · Make the Stop	COMMON	2.24%	$0.99	6.1%
Adrian Peterson · Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.65	5.7%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.82

Net −$98.18 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $99.00 ask

Value ratio

0.01x

-99.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $99.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

100%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 4,264 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by published pack odds (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

0.2%unopened

9 / 4,264 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jalen Hurts	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$1.00	$0.10
Dallas Cowboys	Make the Stop	COMMON	2.24%	$0.99	$0.07
Dak Prescott	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.65	$0.06
Chuba Hubbard	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.65	$0.06
Adrian Peterson	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.65	$0.06
Trevor Lawrence	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.62	$0.06
Amon-Ra St. Brown	Locked In	RARE	0.38%	$4.00	$0.05
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.39	$0.04
Justin Fields	Base	COMMON	3.20%	$0.35	$0.03
T.J. Watt	Make the Stop	COMMON	2.24%	$0.49	$0.03

Playbook: Three-Star Reward (Series 2, Week 5)

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV