2025 Draw It Up Reward - Jordan Addison

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.25/pack▼ 86% below the $1.75 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1.75 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$1.75] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

878

complete open history

Moments pulled

878

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$111

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.27

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

127

still unopened

Opened share

87%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.25/packvs realized $0.27 avg · $0.28 median(1.08×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 878 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jordan Addison · Draw it Up	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$0.25	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $1.00 (90d)Last $1.00 · 2mo ago14 sales · 1 in 90d

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.25

Net −$1.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1.75 ask

Value ratio

0.14x

-85.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 87% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1.75 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

87%

of all minted packs · as of 8d ago

Packs remaining

128

of 1,005 minted · as of 8d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).