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NFL All Day · Pack #6778

2025 Draw It Up Reward - Justin Jefferson

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $7.00/pack▼ 53% below the $15.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$15.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

134

complete open history

Moments pulled

134

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$185

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$7.40

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $7.00/packvs realized $7.40 avg · $7.40 median(1.06×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 134 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$7.00

Net −$8.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00

Value ratio

0.47x

-53.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 143 minted · as of 84d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

6.3%unopened

9 / 143 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Justin Jefferson	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$7.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.