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NFL All Day · Pack #6779

2025 Draw It Up Reward - Dak Prescott

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $2.70/pack▼ 91% below the $29.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$29.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

159

complete open history

Moments pulled

159

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$185

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.60

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $2.70/packvs realized $2.60 avg · $2.55 median(0.96×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 159 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $14.00 · 7mo ago1 sale

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$2.70

Net −$26.30 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.00

Value ratio

0.09x

-90.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 164 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

3.0%unopened

5 / 164 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Dak Prescott	Draw it Up	RARE	100.00%	$2.70	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.