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NFL All Day · Pack #6860

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Value still sealed≈ $16.95/pack▼ 85% below the $114 secondary askTypical pull ≈ $5.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$114] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,178

complete open history

Moments pulled

5,890

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4,814

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$19.49

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $16.95/packvs realized $19.71 avg · $12.75 median(1.16×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 1,178 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jaxson Dart · Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	0.08%	$378	6.9%
Emeka Egbuka · Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	0.08%	$220	4.0%
Shedeur Sanders

Sealed pack resale

Last $79.00 · 9mo agoRetail $69.00119 sales

Pack price

$114

Actual EV

$16.95

Mean pull · Net −$97.05 vs ask

Typical Pull

$5.00

Weighted-median pull value

Value ratio

0.15x

-85.1% margin

FMV coverage

100%

227 editions

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,199 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

1.8%unopened

21 / 1,199 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

LegendaryHit 0.03%

Carson Schwesinger

Rookie Revelation Signature Edition

$400

LegendaryHit 0.03%

Tetairoa McMillan

Rookie Revelation Signature Edition

Holo Icon Signature Edition

$354

LegendaryHit 0.03%

Emeka Egbuka

Rookie Revelation Signature Edition

$316

What's Inside

FMV priced 227 of 227 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Nick Chubb	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$0.99	—
Russell Wilson	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$1.25	—
Justin Fields	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$1.00	—
DeMarcus Lawrence	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$0.75	—
Evan Engram	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$0.75	—
Talanoa Hufanga	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$0.99	—
Stefon Diggs	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$1.00	—
J.K. Dobbins	Fresh Threads	RARE	0.08%	$1.00	—
AJ Barner	Move the Chains (Parallel)	RARE	0.06%	$1.35	—
Isaiah Pola-Mao	Ball Hawk (Parallel)	RARE	0.06%	$2.00	—

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What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV