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NFL All Day · Pack #6967

2025 Wild Card Weekend Sapphire Trade In Reward - Brian Thomas Jr

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $20.00/pack▼ 17% below the $24.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $24.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$24.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$300

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$20.00

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $20.00/packvs realized $20.00 avg · $20.00 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 23 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$20.00

Net −$4.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $24.00

Value ratio

0.83x

-16.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $24.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 24 minted · as of 84d ago

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

4.2%unopened

1 / 24 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 100.00%

Brian Thomas

Wild Card Weekend Gold (Parallel)

$20.00

What's Inside

pullable editions

Brian Thomas

Wild Card Weekend Gold (Parallel)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Brian Thomas	Wild Card Weekend Gold (Parallel)	RARE	100.00%	$20.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.