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NFL All Day · Pack #6986

2025 Wild Card Weekend Uncommon Reward - Josh Allen

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $16.50/pack▼ 58% below the $39.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $39.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$39.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$438

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$11.84

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $16.50/packvs realized $11.84 avg · $9.00 median(0.72×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 67 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $19.00 · 6mo ago1 sale

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$16.50

Net −$22.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $39.00

Value ratio

0.42x

-57.7% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $39.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 68 minted

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

1.5%unopened

1 / 68 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Josh Allen	Playoff (Parallel)	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$16.50	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.