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NFL All Day · Pack #7059

2025 Conference Championship Sapphire Reward - Christian Elliss

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $30.00/pack▼ 39% below the $49.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$49.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$300

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$30.00

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

94%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $30.00/packvs realized $30.00 avg · $30.00 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 15 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$30.00

Net −$19.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

Value ratio

0.61x

-38.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

94%

of all minted packs · as of 84d ago

Packs remaining

of 16 minted · as of 84d ago

⚠ Rough estimate. EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers). ~100% of pack value rests on sparse or missing sales data — treat as a rough estimate.

Packs Content Remaining

pool

6.3%unopened

1 / 16 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 100.00%

Christian Elliss

Conference Championships Gold (Parallel)

$30.00

What's Inside

pullable editions

Christian Elliss

Conference Championships Gold (Parallel)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Christian Elliss	Conference Championships Gold (Parallel)	RARE	100.00%	$30.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.