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NFL All Day · Pack #7077

Jonathan Taylor's Pro Bowl Uncommon Moment

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.90/pack▼ 95% below the $19.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$19.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

276

complete open history

Moments pulled

276

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$307

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.75

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.90/packvs realized $1.75 avg · $1.80 median(1.94×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 276 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $6.00 · 6mo ago2 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$0.90

Net −$18.10 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00

Value ratio

0.05x

-95.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $19.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 283 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.5%unopened

7 / 283 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jonathan Taylor	Pro Bowl	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$0.90	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.