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NFL All Day · Pack #7078

Sam Darnold's Pro Bowl Rare Moment

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $3.60/pack▼ 89% below the $34.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $34.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$34.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

191

complete open history

Moments pulled

191

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$468

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$3.60

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

99%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $3.60/packvs realized $3.60 avg · $3.60 median(1.00×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 191 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $29.00 · 6mo ago1 sale

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$3.60

Net −$30.40 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $34.00

Value ratio

0.11x

-89.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $34.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

99%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 194 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

1.5%unopened

3 / 194 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Sam Darnold	Pro Bowl	RARE	100.00%	$3.60	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.