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NFL All Day · Pack #7109

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's Pro Bowl Uncommon Moment

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.80/pack▼ 91% below the $21.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $21.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$21.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

287

complete open history

Moments pulled

287

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$293

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.64

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

98%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.80/packvs realized $2.64 avg · $2.55 median(1.47×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 287 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $15.00 · 6mo ago4 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.80

Net −$19.20 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $21.00

Value ratio

0.09x

-91.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $21.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

98%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 293 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.0%unopened

6 / 293 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	Pro Bowl	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$1.80	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.