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NFL All Day · Pack #7152

2025 Playbook Super Bowl LX - Free

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $0.17/pack▼ 92% below the $2.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 78% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

781

complete open history

Moments pulled

781

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$67.74

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.19

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

222

still unopened

Opened share

78%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $0.17/packvs realized $0.19 avg · $0.17 median(1.12×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 781 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Caleb Williams · Base	COMMON	0.74%	$1.00	3.9%
Patrick Mahomes II · Base	COMMON	1.60%	$0.40	3.3%

Sealed pack resale

Median $1.95 (90d)Last $2.00 · 1mo ago50 sales · 4 in 90d

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$0.17

Net −$1.83 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 78% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.00 ask

Value ratio

0.09x

-91.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 78% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

78%

of all minted packs · as of 27d ago

Packs remaining

222

of 1,003 minted · as of 27d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

pool

22%unopened

222 / 1,003 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Buyer	Sale price	When
@2DaMax	$2.00	36d ago
@Machito_BHK	$2.00	120d ago
@cryptomike88St	$2.00	192d ago
@Elosworld	$2.00	192d ago
0xcf03…4b65	$1.95	46d ago
@MakatiNBAcardz	$1.95	52d ago
@MakatiNBAcardz	$1.95	54d ago
0xa202…2ab4	$1.00	171d ago
@DogeDogg824	$1.00	175d ago
@MikeMegatron	$1.00	176d ago

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Isiah Pacheco	Base	COMMON	1.60%	$0.15	—
Travon Walker	Base	COMMON	1.60%	$0.14	—
Deommodore Lenoir

2025 Playbook Super Bowl LX - Free

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV