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NFL All Day · Pack #7188

2025 Super Bowl LX Sapphire Reward - Derick Hall

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $7.20/pack▼ 95% below the $149 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $149

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$149] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$152

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$6.35

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

96%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $7.20/packvs realized $6.35 avg · $8.00 median(0.88×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 24 attributed opens

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$7.20

Net −$142 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $149

Value ratio

0.05x

-95.2% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $149

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

96%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 25 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

4.0%unopened

1 / 25 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

RareHit 100.00%

Derick Hall

Super Bowl LX Gold (Parallel)

$7.20

What's Inside

pullable editions

Derick Hall

Super Bowl LX Gold (Parallel)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Derick Hall	Super Bowl LX Gold (Parallel)	RARE	100.00%	$7.20	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.