Christian Gonzalez - Super Bowl LX: Standard Reward

Rare

Value still sealed≈ $3.50/pack▼ 94% below the $55.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $55.00 ask

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$55.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

complete open history

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$259

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$7.20

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

95%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $3.50/packvs realized $7.20 avg · $7.20 median(2.06×)

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 38 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Christian Gonzalez · Super Bowl LX Gold (Parallel)	RARE	100.00%	$3.50	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

—

No retail price

Actual EV

$3.50

Net −$51.50 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $55.00 ask

Value ratio

0.06x

-93.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $55.00 ask

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

95%

of all minted packs · as of 129d ago

Packs remaining

of 40 minted · as of 129d ago

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).