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NFL All Day · Pack #761

Draw it Up: Devon Witherspoon (2023 Season)

Standard

Value still sealed≈ $1.00/pack▼ 93% below the $15.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$15.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

585

complete open history

Moments pulled

585

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$3.91

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.98

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

Opened share

97%

of all minted packs

EV reality check

Modeled $1.00/packvs realized $0.98 avg · $0.97 median(0.98×)

Model tracks actual pulls · 585 attributed opens

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 11mo ago22 sales

Pack price

—

Actual EV

$1.00

Net −$14.00 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00

Value ratio

0.07x

-93.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00

FMV coverage

—

Depletion

97%

of all minted packs

Packs remaining

of 602 minted

EV is odds-corrected — tiers valued by median FMV and weighted by circulation share (a robust cross-check of the headline supply-weighted EV, resistant to per-edition FMV outliers).

Packs Content Remaining

live pool

2.8%unopened

17 / 602 packs

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of ?

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Devon Witherspoon	Draw it Up	UNCOMMON	100.00%	$1.00	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted —. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.